Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 416.918261 474.840421 539.518660 617.389780 708.989445 813.785166 943.422727
2025-09-28 316.678213 387.900565 474.690723 589.334897 738.429947 928.033975 1191.072369
2025-10-05 281.975007 362.618140 466.876421 613.752266 818.927437 1100.871202 1527.447326
2025-10-12 259.166996 346.800748 465.758070 642.653767 905.383078 1291.767148 1923.749869
2025-10-19 234.416293 323.896021 450.268660 646.769929 954.024185 1432.893470 2271.440209
2025-10-26 209.339501 296.936778 424.757362 631.056360 967.990340 1520.006723 2546.280784
2025-11-02 189.950267 275.834741 404.893345 620.375319 986.716440 1615.589205 2853.301343
2025-11-09 179.877423 267.486688 403.132377 637.650053 1053.359050 1803.021876 3371.682137
2025-11-16 166.804135 253.023354 389.914438 633.699059 1081.619302 1924.778755 3787.529116
2025-11-23 154.577060 238.688637 375.289545 625.189527 1099.710394 2029.251187 4190.835537
2025-11-30 145.846884 229.219118 367.704604 627.988169 1138.998777 2181.790876 4739.841147
2025-12-07 135.657536 216.411195 353.137186 616.120537 1147.523981 2271.334571 5161.887169
2025-12-14 127.791743 207.149299 344.303928 614.800005 1178.873856 2419.775857 5785.815813
2025-12-21 116.935421 191.884066 323.480269 588.085236 1153.585207 2436.871776 6068.952132
2025-12-28 114.218817 190.730548 328.148096 612.291847 1241.665700 2736.806853 7246.526912
2026-01-04 112.218342 190.656845 334.739932 641.129854 1344.812151 3096.905699 8745.696110
2026-01-11 107.339255 184.880155 329.884557 645.232198 1391.022624 3320.819667 9898.118086
2026-01-18 100.636803 175.195820 316.588610 629.563175 1387.148005 3408.865034 10618.221739
2026-01-25 95.047044 167.238860 306.075585 618.912088 1394.231177 3529.641658 11510.412355
2026-02-01 92.761175 165.467246 307.841474 636.138284 1475.232479 3884.693401 13475.542590
2026-02-08 88.553957 159.639548 300.799621 632.198414 1499.954819 4075.539304 14862.751248
2026-02-15 84.237208 153.311319 292.222112 623.712797 1511.141650 4226.882909 16156.962742
2026-02-22 81.234971 149.421610 288.493926 626.503580 1554.276521 4494.104115 18141.512443